Who Would Win World War 3?

 
Note that his includes the $1000 toilet seats, $90k screws or artillery shells (EU $8.5k, Russia $600). The graph maybe instructive for consumer goods, but absolutely not for the output of the Western MIC racket.

AsiaTimes (Noah Smith blog, really) engages in answering the question who would win WW3, hidden behind an euphemistic article title:

[asiatimes] – Sizing up the China-Russia ‘New Axis’
[noahpinion.blog] – Sizing up the New Axis (source article)

This is an interesting question, now that the world is on a seemingly inevitable path towards WW3, since the West crossed the Rubicon in Ukraine in 2014, thereby crossing a well in advance advertised Russian red line. Discussion of the entire article (in italics) below, for graphs see links above:

In a recent post, I tried to warn people about the substantial and growing chance of World War 3. My post was focused on the risk that a war will occur, but it didn’t really focus on the risk that the US and its allies will be defeated in that war.

Western hegemonists have a difficult time imagining such an outcome in the first place. If such a skepticism is to be found in the West, AsiaTimes would be your first address to look for it.

Yes, nuclear weapons are a factor, but there’s no certainty they’ll be unleashed in WW3, even by the losing side.

Using small nukes by a losing regime on the battle field against advancing armies is a near certainty, as a prelude to the logic of: “if we go, we drag you with us in the grave”. For this reasons where will never be either GIs in Beijing/Moscow, nor Russian/Chinese in Washington/Brussels.

So yes, there is a chance the US and its allies could be defeated by China and its allies in a major conventional world war.

How big is this chance of defeat? Obviously, factors like training and competence come into play, and these are in favor of the US.

Really? You may have missed Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria. Or even WW2, where the US showed up at the last moment, hiding behind the broad back of the USSR that did the heavy lifting (for every dead American GI, 50 Soviet soldiers died), so the US could snatch away a Western European windfall empire. The US is a military paper tiger, today more than ever before.

Technological sophistication is also important and here as well the developed democracies probably still have at least a small edge over China.

Why leave Russia out, that is turning western weaponry to scrap metal in the killing fields of Ukraine, out-producing the entire West on its own?

But in World War 2, both skill/experience and technological sophistication slightly favored the Axis over the Allies at the start of the war. Nazi Germany started with the best ground equipment, while Japan had the best fighter planes and torpedoes, and arguably the best aircraft carriers as well.

But over time, massive US and Soviet production of ships, planes, tanks, and materiel ground down the Axis. And as the war progressed, the Allies learned how to fight and improved their technology rapidly, until by the end it was better than what the Axis had.

The Axis never really had a chance from the start:

Global GDP distribution 1941 in %:

USA 29
USSR 13
British Empire 11
France 5
– –
Germany 11
Japan 6
Italy 5

Allies 56%, Axis 22%

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Indo-European Man

The oldest recovered white guy, found in Siberia, 24,000 years old.

First India, next Europe. “Indo-European”.

[wikipedia.org] – Indo-Aryan migrations

What’s next in store for white civilization, after the disaster aka the American Empire?

Retreat into Eastern Europe and Russia-Ukraine-Siberia?

x

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China vs USA

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John Mearsheimer on Geopolitics Post-October 7

 

Professor John Mearsheimer addressed an audience in Brisbane on Monday, 23 October as part of an event with Tom Switzer and Peter Varghese. This video is John’s standalone lecture, you can find the rest of the conversation and Q&A session in PART 2 in the coming days.

Transcript lecture below, my comments at the bottom:

 
Intro

Thank you very much Tom for the kind introduction and thank you all for coming out tonight. I’m amazed at how many people are here uh the subject I want to talk about for about 25 minutes and then I’ll be more than willing … to take any questions that folks have.

 
The US is being distracted from China by Ukraine and Middle East

It’s all about American Grand strategy and my argument is that the United States is losing focus and you say to yourself what exactly does that mean? I believe that the principal threat that the United States faces in the world is the rise of China and the possibility that China might try to dominate Asia and I think we have a deep-seated interest in containing China, but what’s happened is that the United States has lost focus and it’s got diverted into the Ukraine war in Europe and it’s now getting diverted into the Middle East, with the war between Hamas and Israel and the United States is therefore unable to Pivot completely to Asia and I think this is a major mistake for the United States and what I want to do tonight is elaborate my thinking on that main thesis.

 
The Unipolar Moment is over

The best starting point for thinking about this issue is just to talk about the global balance of power it’s very understand very important to understand that most of the young people in the audience came of age during the unipolar moment the period from from 1989 when the Cold War ended up until about 2017 is commonly known as the unipolar moment and what that means is that there was only one great power on the planet and that one great power was the United States of America. This is a world that Australians almost to a person loved because the United States provided security for you and there was no China threat there was no Soviet threat and you were able to grow economically in all sorts of ways to become more prosperous. This was the unipolar moment but it’s very important to understand that what’s happened is that the unipolar moment is in the rearview mirror, it’s gone. We are now in a multi-polar world, where we went from one great power to three great Powers, the United States China and Russia and we now consider Russia a great power, because Vladimir Putin since he took over in 2000 has brought the Russians back from the dead. Most of you know that in the 1990s, Russia had basically died. Putin brought them back from the dead, so Russia’s a great power. China’s a great power and of course Uncle Sam is a great power.
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Liveblog Ukraine Part 8 – From June 9 until June x

After Ukraine, they have the other US useful idiots Poland and the Baltic states lining up to get a beating.

 

 

[theguardian.com] – Nato members may send troops to Ukraine, warns former alliance chief

Always these Scandinavians and their slimy unconditional loyalty to Washington. Danish attack dog Rasmussen is send forward to bring the message that NATO could send troops to western Ukraine, notable from eternal US useful idiot Poland (obviously against unspecified territorial kickbacks like Kaliningrad and/or Galicia), an immense dangerous escalation, which could prompt Russia to fully mobilize.

[politico.eu] – Watch out Ukraine, here comes the Hungaro-Austrian Empire

Politico, to its dismay, discerns a tendency in Europe that certain governments move in the direction of Russia.

[politico.eu] – Ukraine counteroffensive ramps up, but meets stiff Russian resistance

Probably understatement. Colonel Douglas MacGregor assumes that the first days of the Ukrainian “probing attacks” came at a cost of 4000 Ukrainian deaths (against 250 Russian dead), 52 tanks, 5 aircraft destroyed.

 

 

 

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Ammonia Pipeline Destroyed in Ukraine

[source]

Russia and Ukraine blame each other.

[dailymail.co.uk] – Fears of ANOTHER environmental disaster in Ukraine after world’s largest ammonia pipeline is shelled, ‘releasing huge poisonous gas cloud’, a day after dam is blown up, sparking huge floods

Did Kissinger Set Up Nixon for Watergate?

Secret tribal loyalties between Henry Kissinger and Carl Bernstein were the real cause for the downfall of Kissinger?

Note that the secret tapes of conversations between Nixon and Billy Graham revealed that Nixon wanted “to do something” about the US power structure, something that JFK had tried for the US (without success) and Stalin and Putin for the USSR/Russia, both with success. Not to mention Hitler in Germany.

[haaretz.com] – Billy Graham, Nixon and anti-Semitism: The Bombshell Tapes That Tarnished the Faith Leader’s Reputation

Douglas MacGregor Rewrites History WW2

From [17:25] onwards, Douglas MacGregor gives an interpretation of WW2 that significantly deviates from the official WW2-narrative. The USSR lost 39 million people, including 15 million soldiers. MacGregor maintains that enormous US aid made the difference between winning and losing the war for the USSR, supported by data from historian Albert Weeks. This aid, worth hundreds of billions of dollars in todays currency, was provided FOR FREE, in sharp contrast to similar aid that was provided to the UK, that the latter had to pay for (Lend-Lease), to the tune of bankruptcy.

The sinister Harry Hopkins, righthand man of Roosevelt, went to Moscow in July 1941, bypassing the US ambassador and foreign minister, to provide enormous secret aid to the USSR. The USSR was the REAL ally of the US, the UK (and Poland) merely useful idiots to get the war started to the benefit of the US and USSR, all by design since 1933, when a certain religious group had taken over foreign policy of the US, after the same group had done so in Russia in 1917. In the end Stalin fooled all, including Roosevelt, when it became apparent to the US that Stalin had removed said group from power and opted for National Bolshevism instead of the globalist variant of communism of Lenin and Trotsky. The fact that the USSR sold free US-provided oil to Japan, is an indication that the geopolitical love USA-USSR was a one-sided affair.

Douglas MacGregor is not telling anything new for those who have been paying attention. What is remarkable is that somebody with the stature of him, openly says these things. This is a foreboding that the official WW2-narrative could collapse in the near future, together with the US empire.